AUD Trading Outlook
Australian Dollar (AUD) the AUD/USD hit day highs above 1.0610 before reversing lower in the European and US session tracking the Euro and GBP. The main drag yesterday was the weaker than expected Chinese industrial output data. July Australian Jobs were strong at 14k vs. 10k forecast. Looking ahead, Chinese July Trade Balance forecast at 34bn vs. 31.7bn previously.
Australian Dollar (AUD) the AUD/USD has broken 1.0600 in Asia Trade on Thursday after better than expected July Jobs data up +14k vs. 10k forecast and the Unemployment Rate remained at 5.2%. UPDATE BOJ Hold Interest Rates at 0.1%.
Australian Dollar (AUD) the AUD/USD had an eventful day with the market hitting 1.0600 just after the RBA held rates at 3.5% yesterday in Asia but this was short lived and profit takers have taken control reversing the pair lower. Support is seen at 1.0530 and 1.0480 where we should see solid support with the Aussie enjoying the benefits of a commodity and Stock market rally. Update Japan June Current Account forecast at -19.6bn vs. -62.6bn forecast.
Australian Dollar (AUD) the AUD/USD was strong continuing to press to fresh rally highs above 1.0580 and is looking to test 1.0600 and then 1.0650 if the stock market holds. The RBA meet today but this is not expected to be a major event with economists expecting the RBA to hold at 3.5%. The statement will be closely scrutinized though for clues as the timing and direction of the next move. Looking ahead, RBA Australian Interest Rate forecast to hold at 3.5%.
Australian Dollar (AUD) the AUD/USD fell immediately after the US jobs data to 1.0500 but as US stocks surged higher we saw the risk sensitive currency move to fresh highs tracking the EUR/USD. The outlook is for more gains above 1.0600 this week if the RBA tomorrow doesn’t surprise the market. Looking ahead, RBA Australian Interest Rate on Tuesday a major risk event for the AUD/USD.
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