AUD Trading Outlook
Australian Dollar (AUD) the Aussie shrugged off the poor February Employment data of -15k to rally past 1.0600 into Asia and 1.0670 in the US session. The AUD/USD direction is primarily decided by the daily stock market movements and much to the bemusement of fundamental traders will move higher even if local data is terrible when stocks are in an uptrend. Looking ahead, January Trade Balance forecast at 1500mn vs. 1709mn previously. Also China February CPI is forecast at 3.4% vs. 4.5%.
Australian Dollar (AUD) the Aussie has been under attack so far this week testing 1.0500 after weak Q4 GDP data and only saved by the risk on rally in stocks during the US session. UPDATE February Employment change -15.4k vs. 5k forecast adding to the recent run of poor data.
Australian Dollar (AUD) the 1.0600-1.0840 range broke decisively overnight with the China slowdown and Greece fears pushing the risk currency to 1.0550. The market then sold to 1.0500 on weaker than expected GDP data released early in Asia morning Wednesday. UPDATE Q4 GDP at 0.4% vs. 0.8% forecast.
Australian Dollar (AUD) the Aussie fell on the China news with the two countries fates interlinked and any Chinese data being traded through the AUD/USD of late. The RBA is today with a hold expected given recent stronger Aussie jobs data. Looking ahead, RBA Rate announcement forecast to hold at 4.25%.
Australian Dollar (AUD) the Aussie pulled back to 1.0730 from 1.0800 with the RBA ahead tomorrow the main risk event for the week with most looking for a hold at 4.25%. Looking ahead, UK February PMI services forecast at 54.9 vs. 56 previously.
Go to Australian Dollar (AUD) Archive