AUD Trading Outlook
Australian Dollar (AUD) the AUSD/USD tracked the Euro higher but stalled at 1.0700 and consolidated in the middle of its recent range until Early Asia on Friday were we saw the next leg higher on RBA talk. RBA Governor speaking to politicians talked up the Australian economy and stated current rates are appropriate and China growth still strong. Those looking for hints of more interest rate cuts are not receiving much from the central bank lately to support their case. Looking ahead, Q4 UK GDP forecast at -0.2% vs. -0.2% previously.
Australian Dollar (AUD) the AUD/USD tried to rally but once again eased in the US session with the usual support seen for the commodity currency lacking even as Gold surged higher. Some traders suggest the political risk that is unraveling in the challenge to PM Gillard from a former Prime minister as the reason for yesterday’s underperformance. Looking ahead, February German IFO Business Climate forecast at 108.8 vs. 108.3 previously.
Australian Dollar (AUD) the AUD/USD moved back to lower after the high on the back of the Greece news 1.0750 held twice. The pullback in US stocks prompted another search for support on the bottom end of the range near 1.0650. Looking ahead, MPC Rate Hike forecast at 0-9-0 for all holding. Interesting to see the MPC support for the QE expansion however.
Australian Dollar (AUD) roared back to the topside testing 1.0800 on Monday morning and looking to test year highs at 1.0840 and then onto all time highs above 1.1000. The RBA may try to slow the rise with jawboning and small scale selling from the central bank which they call smoothing operations if the AUD/USD moves too quickly.
Australian Dollar (AUD) roared back to the topside testing 1.0800 on Monday morning and looking to test year highs at 1.0840 and then onto all time highs above 1.1000. The RBA may try to slow the rise with jawboning and small scale selling from the central bank which they call smoothing operations if the AUD/USD moves too quickly.
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