AUD Trading Outlook


 
21.7.2014-21.7.2014 18.7.2014-14.7.2014 11.7.2014-7.7.2014 3.7.2014-30.6.2014 27.6.2014-23.6.2014 20.6.2014-16.6.2014 13.6.2014-10.6.2014 4.6.2014-2.6.2014 28.5.2014-26.5.2014 23.5.2014-19.5.2014 16.5.2014-12.5.2014 9.5.2014-5.5.2014 2.5.2014-28.4.2014 25.4.2014-22.4.2014 18.4.2014-14.4.2014 11.4.2014-7.4.2014 4.4.2014-31.3.2014 28.3.2014-24.3.2014 21.3.2014-17.3.2014 14.3.2014-10.3.2014 6.3.2014-3.3.2014 28.2.2014-24.2.2014 21.2.2014-17.2.2014 14.2.2014-10.2.2014 7.2.2014-3.2.2014 31.1.2014-27.1.2014 24.1.2014-20.1.2014 17.1.2014-14.1.2014 8.1.2014-8.1.2014 3.1.2014-23.12.2013 19.12.2013-16.12.2013 13.12.2013-9.12.2013 6.12.2013-2.12.2013 29.11.2013-25.11.2013 22.11.2013-20.11.2013 1.11.2013-28.10.2013 25.10.2013-21.10.2013 18.10.2013-14.10.2013 11.10.2013-7.10.2013 2.10.2013-30.9.2013 27.9.2013-16.9.2013 13.9.2013-11.9.2013 23.8.2013-12.8.2013 9.8.2013-5.8.2013 30.7.2013-29.7.2013 25.7.2013-22.7.2013 18.7.2013-15.7.2013 12.7.2013-9.7.2013 28.6.2013-24.6.2013 21.6.2013-19.6.2013 7.6.2013-3.6.2013 31.5.2013-28.5.2013 23.5.2013-20.5.2013 17.5.2013-14.5.2013 10.5.2013-6.5.2013 2.5.2013-30.4.2013 26.4.2013-22.4.2013 16.4.2013-16.4.2013 10.4.2013-25.3.2013 21.3.2013-19.3.2013 15.3.2013-11.3.2013 7.3.2013-4.3.2013 1.3.2013-25.2.2013 22.2.2013-18.2.2013 15.2.2013-12.2.2013 8.2.2013-4.2.2013 1.2.2013-28.1.2013 25.1.2013-21.1.2013 18.1.2013-14.1.2013 11.1.2013-7.1.2013 4.1.2013-2.1.2013 27.12.2012-18.12.2012 12.12.2012-10.12.2012 7.12.2012-26.11.2012 22.11.2012-12.11.2012 9.11.2012-5.11.2012 2.11.2012-29.10.2012 26.10.2012-22.10.2012 19.10.2012-15.10.2012 12.10.2012-8.10.2012 5.10.2012-1.10.2012 28.9.2012-24.9.2012 21.9.2012-17.9.2012 14.9.2012-10.9.2012 7.9.2012-3.9.2012 31.8.2012-27.8.2012 24.8.2012-20.8.2012

7th December

Australian Dollar (AUD) the AUD/USD broke briefly above 1.0500 overnight but we find ourselves back down at 1.0480 once again with the EUR/USD slumping. The slow grind higher will require EUR/USD support to get back above the 1.0500. Australian November Jobs data was solid with +13.9k and the Unemployment Rate dropped to 5.2% vs. 5.5% previously. Update October Trade Balance at -2088mn vs. -1456mn previously.

6th December

Australian Dollar (AUD) the AUD/USD was quiet at 1.0480 but we found strong resistance here and pulled back to 1.0450 as the Dollar fought back in the US session. The RBA rate cut and weak retail data earlier in the week has been overlooked so far but we have November Employment Data out today that should move the Aussie more aggressively. Q3 GDP was at expectations at 0.5% vs. 0.6% previously. Looking ahead, November Employment Change forecast at 0 vs. 10.7k. November Unemployment Rate forecast at 5.5% vs. 5.4%.

5th December

Australian Dollar (AUD) The AUD/USD was in play yesterday with a cut by the central bank (RBA) of 0.25% to bring the Interest rate to 3.0%. The rates are now as low as the 2009 Crisis levels but the AUD/USD was not sold aggressively in fact we have seen buyers yesterday push the commodity pair to fresh month highs. UPDATE Australian Q3 GDP at 0.5% vs. 0.6% previously Q/Q.

4th December

Australian Dollar (AUD) some weak November retail sales data yesterday saw AUD/USD back below 1.0400 but this was only temporary and we quickly moved back to 1.0430 ahead of the RBA decision today. The RBA is forecast to cut by 0.25% but this is widely publicized so the reaction should be limited. Looking ahead, RBA forecast to cut from 3.25% to 3.0%.

3rd December

Australian Dollar (AUD)remained supported on dips so far with AUD/USD falling from 1.0480 to 1.0410 Friday as Gold fell sharply and long traders took profit ahead of Tuesday’s RBA meeting which is now pricing in an 80% chance of a rate cut. Looking ahead, October Retail Sales forecast 0.4% vs. 0.5%

26th November


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