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EUR Trading Outlook


 
9.5.2012-7.5.2012 4.5.2012-30.4.2012 27.4.2012-23.4.2012 20.4.2012-16.4.2012 13.4.2012-9.4.2012 5.4.2012-2.4.2012 30.3.2012-27.3.2012 23.3.2012-19.3.2012 16.3.2012-12.3.2012 9.3.2012-5.3.2012 2.3.2012-27.2.2012 24.2.2012-20.2.2012 17.2.2012-13.2.2012 10.2.2012-6.2.2012 3.2.2012-30.1.2012 27.1.2012-23.1.2012 20.1.2012-16.1.2012 13.1.2012-9.1.2012 6.1.2012-2.1.2012 30.12.2011-26.12.2011 23.12.2011-19.12.2011 16.12.2011-12.12.2011 9.12.2011-5.12.2011 2.12.2011-28.11.2011 24.11.2011-21.11.2011 18.11.2011-14.11.2011 11.11.2011-7.11.2011 4.11.2011-31.10.2011 28.10.2011-24.10.2011 21.10.2011-17.10.2011 14.10.2011-10.10.2011 6.10.2011-3.10.2011 30.9.2011-26.9.2011 23.9.2011-19.9.2011 16.9.2011-12.9.2011 9.9.2011-5.9.2011 2.9.2011-29.8.2011 26.8.2011-22.8.2011 19.8.2011-15.8.2011 12.8.2011-8.8.2011 4.8.2011-2.8.2011 29.7.2011-25.7.2011 22.7.2011-18.7.2011 15.7.2011-11.7.2011 8.7.2011-4.7.2011 1.7.2011-28.6.2011 24.6.2011-20.6.2011 16.6.2011-13.6.2011 10.6.2011-6.6.2011 3.6.2011-30.5.2011 27.5.2011-23.5.2011 20.5.2011-16.5.2011 13.5.2011-9.5.2011 6.5.2011-2.5.2011 29.4.2011-25.4.2011 21.4.2011-18.4.2011 15.4.2011-11.4.2011 8.4.2011-4.4.2011 1.4.2011-28.3.2011 25.3.2011-21.3.2011 17.3.2011-14.3.2011 11.3.2011-8.3.2011 4.3.2011-28.2.2011 25.2.2011-21.2.2011 18.2.2011-14.2.2011 11.2.2011-7.2.2011 4.2.2011-31.1.2011 28.1.2011-25.1.2011 21.1.2011-17.1.2011 14.1.2011-10.1.2011 7.1.2011-3.1.2011 31.12.2010-29.12.2010 24.12.2010-20.12.2010 17.12.2010-13.12.2010

27th April

The Euro (EUR) the EUR/USD rallied into Europe as the positive momentum from the FOMC Dollar weakness had another leg to run. The market then fell back to lower 1.3200 region a more familiar level and we were very contained until Spain was downgraded late in the US session by S&P. This is not the first downgrade we have seen in previous months so the downside might be limited with the EUR/USD already back above 1.3200 in the Asian session. The real test will be the European Bond Traders reaction to the downgrade in the European session later today. A move of Spanish long term bonds back above 6% could prompt fresh risk aversion selling.

26th April

The Euro (EUR) the Euro is once again back above 1.3200 and is looking to test recent resistance near 1.3250 as stock markets rally and the fear over Eurozone debt markets resides for now. The market is looking to ECB President Draghi’s speech tonight to contrast the European central bank’s outlook with the those of the US.

24th April

The Euro (EUR) French election concerns added to the fresh Dutch AAA ratings risks causing the Friday Rally to reverse to 1.3130. The EUR/GBP fell to new lows near 0.8150. The EUR/JPY fell back aggressively from Y108 and found support at Y106.50. The outlook is mixed with the bounce off 1.3000 failing to get far and Spanish/Italian bonds still remaining under pressure.

23th April

The Euro (EUR) the EUR/USD broke above 1.3150 and we moved to 1.3220 as the IMF news combined with the better than expected German IFO to push higher. April German IFO increased to 109.9 vs. 109.5 forecast. EUR/JPY kicked to Y108 and is enjoying the upside in recent days.


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