GBP Trading Outlook
The Sterling (GBP) the GBP/USD consolidated the move above 1.6000 and this is good technically for the bulls hoping to push higher still. A close this week above the level will help the GBP/USD rally toward 1.6200 in the short term. Looking ahead, April German Business IFO forecast at 109.5 vs. 109.8 previously. Also ahead, UK March Retail Sales forecast at 0.5% vs. -0.8% m/m.
The Sterling (GBP) the main mover in the markets Wednesday as we saw GBP/USD break above 1.6000 after the MPC minutes showed those members looking to increase the UK Asset Purchase program (printing money) had decreased to only 1 in the April MPC Meeting. EUR/GBP finally broke 0.8200 after weeks of teasing the level. Looking ahead, Spanish 10 year Bond Auction.
The Sterling (GBP) the GBP/USD roared back to life with the buyers given the green light to push the major back above 1.5950. The 1.6000 is now the target and although we traded above the level only a few weeks ago we failed to hold it after the market mood soured. EUR/GBP is still sitting at the lower 0.8200 region and testing the patience of those looking for a break lower. Looking ahead, April BOE Meeting Minutes forecast at 9-0. Also UK February Unemployment Rate forecast at 8.4.
The Sterling (GBP) struggled to take advantage of the EUR/USD short squeeze with the EUR/GBP also moving higher which capped the major’s gains. The Outlook is for more range trading and potential downside if the situation in Spain deteriorates rapidly. Looking ahead, German April ZEW Survey forecast at 20 vs. 22.3 previously.
The Sterling (GBP) the GBP/USD was not immune to the safe haven flows of USD buying and we saw a move to 1.5850. EUR/GBP has broken 0.8230 and is grinding to 0.8200 taking advantage of the Euro weakness to make a push at the critical level. March PPI came in hot at 4.1% vs. 3.6% forecast y/y. Looking ahead, February Trade Balance forecast at 18bn vs. 20.2bn previously.
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