GBP Trading Outlook


 
17.4.2014-14.4.2014 11.4.2014-7.4.2014 4.4.2014-31.3.2014 28.3.2014-24.3.2014 21.3.2014-17.3.2014 14.3.2014-10.3.2014 6.3.2014-3.3.2014 28.2.2014-24.2.2014 21.2.2014-17.2.2014 14.2.2014-10.2.2014 7.2.2014-3.2.2014 31.1.2014-27.1.2014 24.1.2014-20.1.2014 17.1.2014-14.1.2014 8.1.2014-8.1.2014 3.1.2014-23.12.2013 19.12.2013-16.12.2013 13.12.2013-9.12.2013 6.12.2013-2.12.2013 29.11.2013-25.11.2013 22.11.2013-20.11.2013 1.11.2013-28.10.2013 25.10.2013-21.10.2013 18.10.2013-14.10.2013 11.10.2013-7.10.2013 2.10.2013-30.9.2013 27.9.2013-16.9.2013 13.9.2013-11.9.2013 23.8.2013-12.8.2013 9.8.2013-5.8.2013 30.7.2013-29.7.2013 25.7.2013-22.7.2013 18.7.2013-15.7.2013 12.7.2013-9.7.2013 28.6.2013-24.6.2013 21.6.2013-19.6.2013 7.6.2013-3.6.2013 31.5.2013-28.5.2013 23.5.2013-20.5.2013 17.5.2013-14.5.2013 10.5.2013-6.5.2013 2.5.2013-30.4.2013 26.4.2013-22.4.2013 16.4.2013-16.4.2013 10.4.2013-25.3.2013 21.3.2013-19.3.2013 15.3.2013-11.3.2013 7.3.2013-4.3.2013 1.3.2013-25.2.2013 22.2.2013-18.2.2013 15.2.2013-12.2.2013 8.2.2013-4.2.2013 1.2.2013-28.1.2013 25.1.2013-21.1.2013 18.1.2013-14.1.2013 11.1.2013-7.1.2013 4.1.2013-2.1.2013 27.12.2012-18.12.2012 12.12.2012-10.12.2012 7.12.2012-26.11.2012 22.11.2012-12.11.2012 9.11.2012-5.11.2012 2.11.2012-29.10.2012 26.10.2012-22.10.2012 19.10.2012-15.10.2012 12.10.2012-8.10.2012 5.10.2012-1.10.2012 28.9.2012-24.9.2012 21.9.2012-17.9.2012 14.9.2012-10.9.2012 7.9.2012-3.9.2012 31.8.2012-27.8.2012 24.8.2012-20.8.2012 17.8.2012-13.8.2012 10.8.2012-6.8.2012 3.8.2012-30.7.2012 27.7.2012-23.7.2012 20.7.2012-16.7.2012 13.7.2012-9.7.2012 6.7.2012-2.7.2012 29.6.2012-26.6.2012 22.6.2012-18.6.2012 14.6.2012-11.6.2012 8.6.2012-4.6.2012 1.6.2012-28.5.2012

7th December

The Sterling (GBP) was dragged lower be the Euro slump but we have found support at 1.6050 on Cable. EUR/GBP fell below 0.8100 and has traded as low as 0.8070 so far in Asia. The outlook is mixed with bulls cautious given the new Euro developments and US NFP today. The BOE met and kept rates at 0.5% as widely forecast. Looking ahead, ECB President Draghi Speaks. Also German Industrial Output forecast at -0.5%m/m vs. -1.8% m/m/

6th December

The Sterling (GBP) remained at the 1.6100 level in very tight range which is unusual for the Pound which usually trades in a 100 pip+ daily range. The BOE meet tonight to discuss UK interest rates and are widely expected to keep rates at 0.5% and the asset purchase program at 375bn. Looking ahead, ECB Interest Rate Decision forecast to hold at 0.75%. BoE Interest Rate Decision forecast at 1.0% previously.

5th December

The Sterling (GBP) was contained to a 50 pip range around the 1.6100 level and was left behind by the EUR/USD rally. EUR/GBP has taken advantage of the recent underperformance of the GBP and is now approaching at 0.8150. Looking ahead, October Retail Sales forecast at -0.1% vs. -0.2% previously.

4th December

The Sterling (GBP) was strong advancing to 1.6100 tracking the Euro strength and reacting to better than forecast PMI manufacturing at 49.1 vs. 47.3 previously. GBP/JPY is finding resistance above Y132 but is still well supported on dips. Looking ahead, November UK Construction PMI forecast at 50.5 vs. 50.9 previously.

3rd December

The Sterling (GBP) reversed from 1.6060 to tested 1.6000 during the US session on Friday with weak Canadian GDP and US income figures putting a dampener on the final session. Over the weekend we saw good Chinese data but US politicians seem no closer to a fiscal cliff compromise. Looking ahead, November EU PMI Manufacturing forecast at 46.2 vs. 46.2 previously.

26th November


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