USD Trading Outlook


 
21.7.2014-21.7.2014 18.7.2014-14.7.2014 11.7.2014-7.7.2014 3.7.2014-30.6.2014 27.6.2014-23.6.2014 20.6.2014-16.6.2014 13.6.2014-10.6.2014 4.6.2014-2.6.2014 28.5.2014-26.5.2014 23.5.2014-19.5.2014 16.5.2014-12.5.2014 9.5.2014-5.5.2014 2.5.2014-28.4.2014 25.4.2014-22.4.2014 18.4.2014-14.4.2014 11.4.2014-7.4.2014 4.4.2014-31.3.2014 28.3.2014-24.3.2014 21.3.2014-17.3.2014 14.3.2014-10.3.2014 6.3.2014-3.3.2014 28.2.2014-24.2.2014 21.2.2014-17.2.2014 14.2.2014-10.2.2014 7.2.2014-3.2.2014 31.1.2014-27.1.2014 24.1.2014-20.1.2014 17.1.2014-14.1.2014 8.1.2014-8.1.2014 3.1.2014-23.12.2013 19.12.2013-16.12.2013 13.12.2013-9.12.2013 6.12.2013-2.12.2013 29.11.2013-25.11.2013 22.11.2013-20.11.2013 1.11.2013-28.10.2013 25.10.2013-21.10.2013 18.10.2013-14.10.2013 11.10.2013-7.10.2013 2.10.2013-30.9.2013 27.9.2013-16.9.2013 13.9.2013-11.9.2013 23.8.2013-12.8.2013 9.8.2013-5.8.2013 30.7.2013-29.7.2013 25.7.2013-22.7.2013 18.7.2013-15.7.2013 12.7.2013-9.7.2013 28.6.2013-24.6.2013 21.6.2013-19.6.2013 7.6.2013-3.6.2013 31.5.2013-28.5.2013 23.5.2013-20.5.2013 17.5.2013-14.5.2013 10.5.2013-6.5.2013 2.5.2013-30.4.2013 26.4.2013-22.4.2013 16.4.2013-16.4.2013 10.4.2013-25.3.2013 21.3.2013-19.3.2013 15.3.2013-11.3.2013 7.3.2013-4.3.2013 1.3.2013-25.2.2013 22.2.2013-18.2.2013 15.2.2013-12.2.2013 8.2.2013-4.2.2013 1.2.2013-28.1.2013 25.1.2013-21.1.2013 18.1.2013-14.1.2013 11.1.2013-7.1.2013 4.1.2013-2.1.2013 27.12.2012-18.12.2012 12.12.2012-10.12.2012 7.12.2012-26.11.2012 22.11.2012-12.11.2012 9.11.2012-5.11.2012 2.11.2012-29.10.2012 26.10.2012-22.10.2012 19.10.2012-15.10.2012 12.10.2012-8.10.2012 5.10.2012-1.10.2012 28.9.2012-24.9.2012 21.9.2012-17.9.2012 14.9.2012-10.9.2012 7.9.2012-3.9.2012 31.8.2012-27.8.2012 24.8.2012-20.8.2012

4th June

Forex pair of the day

EUR/NOK - rebound expected

The pair is pulling back on its strong support ahead of a rebound as the daily RSI is reversing up above its oversold area. Therefore, as long as 8 holds as a support (previous overlap and Fibonacci retracement of the previous up move), a rebound is likely with 8.3140 as a first target (horizontal resistance), and 8.54 in extension (horizontal resistance and previous top of December 2013 and February 2014). A third target is set at 8.72 (horizontal resistance). Only a break below 8 will turn the outlook to bearish. In this case, a first alternative target is set at 7.76 (strong horizontal support) and a second one is set at 7.65.

 

3rd June

EUR/USD The generally below f/c Final EZ PMIs aided a EUR/USD drop to 1.3594. The slide halted on profit taking ahead of the ECB by a short market and talk of a reserve manager bids near 1.3590. The pair bounced near 1.3610 as NY got going. The bounce continued to 1.3628 after the soft German inflation data failed to inspire bears. Aiding the bounce was EUR/JPY's spike from near 138.80 to 139.25 after Abe's growth plan draft hit the wires. EUR/USD couldn't must more gains though and began dipping as US yields continued their climb begun late last week. A brief blip up after the PMI data was miscalculated. Talk circulated that the report was incorrect and the USD gained strength. The initial data report was eventually corrected to show a result in line with forecasts. US yields added to earlier gains and the USD stayed strong. EUR/USD made a run at last week's low but couldn't crack it as 1.3588 was all bears could muster. Little bounce was seen though as the pair sat near 1.3595 late in the day. The pair has consolidated in the 1.3585-1.3650 range and is likely to do so until the ECB.

2nd June

Forex pair of the day

GBP/USD - within a bullish channel

The pair has validated a bullish flag and is facing a pull back on the lower boundary of a MT bullish channel. Moreover, the moving averages remain well directed. Therefore, as long as 1.6450 holds as a support (previous overlap), further advance is likely with 1.7040 at first (August 2009 top and strong overlap) and 1.74 in extension (horizontal resistance and overlap). A third target is set at 1.79 (horizontal resistance). Only a break below 1.6450 will turn the outlook to bearish. In this case, a first alternative target is set at 1.62 and a second one at 1.5870 (November 2013 bottom).


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